Aviation Week cuts plane-delivery forecast by 30% over 10 years

Deliveries of commercial aircraft over the next ten years will be 30% lower than previously forecast, Aviation Week Network said in a video conference. The prediction spans regional jets to widebody planes, and the latter will be hardest-hit, Aviation Week analyst Dan Williams said on the call. Aviation Week now sees just under 16,000 jets delivered between 2021 and 2030. The new forecast for widebody aircraft is for just over 2,500 jets to be delivered, down from an earlier prediction of about 4,300, a decline of more than 40%. Operators around the world will likely retire most twin-aisle jets with four engines, barring younger Boeing Co. 747-8I models and some Airbus SE A380s that airlines like Emirates will continue to fly. Nico Buchholz, an advisor to the company, said fuel and noise emissions will also play a role and airlines may think twice about paying for a major check that may be upcoming, or about refurbishing a cabin.<br/>